SAEDNEWS: The Hong Kong publication Asia Times, commenting on U.S. military movements in the Persian Gulf, emphasized that military pressure on Iran could have the opposite effect and strengthen the country’s internal cohesion. The outlet highlighted the importance of restraint and the use of diplomatic measures to manage tensions.
According to the political section of SaedNews, the Hong Kong-based publication Asia Times wrote in an article on Washington’s policies toward Tehran that U.S. military movements in the Persian Gulf are more indicative of a risky deterrence strategy than preparation for war. The actions are linked to concerns over energy market instability and the United States’ protracted strategic competition with China.
The newspaper noted that reports of increased U.S. naval presence in the Gulf have sparked speculation about Washington’s readiness for another conflict in West Asia. However, what is happening on the ground resembles a high-stakes deterrence policy more than an actual war posture.
Referring to former President Donald Trump’s political history, Asia Times observed that his appeal in both the 2016 and 2024 elections was rooted in promises to end “endless wars” and avoid costly foreign interventions.
The publication emphasized that Iran represents a conflict that would be long and costly, with decisive victory difficult to achieve—a scenario at odds with the logic of Trump’s foreign policy narrative. It added that comparing Tehran to Baghdad in 2003 is misleading, as Iran is larger, more populous, and more cohesive, and militarily better prepared for a prolonged confrontation.
The report continued by pointing to Iraq and Afghanistan as cautionary examples, noting that these wars cost the United States between six and eight trillion dollars over the long term, lasted decades, and repeatedly exceeded initial projections. A potential conflict with Iran would likely be even more expensive.
Asia Times further highlighted the opportunity cost of such engagements, noting that while the U.S. has been tied down in protracted operations, powers like China and India have focused on infrastructure, technology, and long-term economic growth.
The publication stressed that global competition is not only military but also technological and economic, involving AI, advanced manufacturing, and strategic technologies. A prolonged conflict in West Asia could weaken U.S. resources at a time when strategic focus is essential.
Politically, the newspaper noted that military pressure could backfire, as an external threat may strengthen internal cohesion in Iran.
Finally, Asia Times warned that the greatest danger lies not in a deliberate decision to go to war but in miscalculations that inadvertently escalate tensions, emphasizing that restraint and diplomacy are essential to avoid this path.
