SAEDNEWS: While Iran focuses on defense and internal security after the twelve-day war, coordinated actions by exiled opposition and media linked to Israel and the U.S. — from propaganda to claims of an “imminent attack” — are seen as attempts to unsettle public confidence and provoke unrest.
According to the political service of Saed News, Farhikhtegan newspaper wrote:
While Iran, following a 12-day war imposed by the Israeli regime and the United States, is moving toward strengthening its defense capabilities and internal security, recent actions by regime-change advocates indicate growing efforts to create unrest as a pretext for another war. In this context, claims of an imminent Israeli military attack on Iran are part of a scenario aimed at destabilizing public morale, generating widespread anxiety, and ultimately increasing dissatisfaction to steer the country toward street unrest. This coordination suggests that exiled opposition groups are fully aligned with Israel, attempting to lay the groundwork for internal chaos to justify foreign military aggression while simultaneously encouraging Western governments, including the U.S., to repeat attacks on Iran. The reality, however, is that these groups lack a genuine social base inside Iran and their regime-change ideas merely repeat previously failed strategies, ultimately reinforcing Iran’s defensive strength.
20 Years of Pahlavi’s Grooming Abroad
One major weakness of the exiled opposition is its lack of domestic support. Le Monde of France, in a detailed article published last Sunday, highlighted that contrary to political propaganda, there is no evidence that monarchists in Iran enjoy significant backing. The newspaper describes Reza Pahlavi as a product of U.S. and Israeli intelligence policies who, without a real social base in Iran, is sustained solely through social media campaigns. Le Monde asserts that Pahlavi is not a symbol of democracy but a bridge for the return of foreign dominance.
In a section titled “Israel’s Influence Campaign,” the newspaper emphasizes the absence of reliable data on Pahlavi’s actual popularity in Iran. It notes that his supporters rely on social media views and likes to claim a following, but in an era of deepfakes and internet bots, these metrics are unreliable. Some European diplomats, particularly in France, regard Pahlavi as a tool in Israel’s intelligence strategy to destabilize Tehran. According to a former member of Iran’s royal family, Israeli agents asked Pahlavi about twenty years ago to assist in guiding anti-regime activities.
Le Monde also points to Pahlavi’s failed attempts to meet European officials, noting that in 2025, his planned meeting with French Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau was canceled to avoid a diplomatic crisis. His support for Israel’s attacks on Iranian civilians has shocked even some monarchist supporters. A photo of Pahlavi alongside the Israeli prime minister, justifying bombings of hundreds of Iranian civilians without empathy, clearly illustrates contradictions in his claimed patriotism.
Regarding the fragmented nature of the Iranian opposition, Andreas Krieg, a Middle East studies professor at King’s College London, said: “Reza Pahlavi has no chance. The Iranian opposition is divided and fragmented. He is neither charismatic nor a unifying figure. He has made many mistakes, including engaging with Israel.”
Pahlavi Admits Cognitive Slowness and Failure
In a video interview, Pahlavi attributed the failure of his regime-change efforts after the 12-day war and his inability to mobilize a social base to his age, stating: “The older you get, the slower your mind works. I’m 65 now. In these circumstances, what miracle could you expect me, living outside Iran, to perform?” These remarks reveal his profound incapacity to mobilize internal forces. He further admitted that regime change would serve Israeli interests, saying, “Israel understands better than anyone the significance Iran would have for their interests.” He also urged the U.S. to take a leadership role against Iran: “America now has the opportunity to lead the regimes that have yielded to Iran and sought compromise. Leadership in the West once achieved the defeat of Hitler and the collapse of the Soviet Union.”
Pahlavi frames the failed 12-day war as a potential tool for regime change, suggesting it could succeed this time with external backing. His statements not only admit past failures but reveal an attempt to repeat unsuccessful scenarios in hopes of foreign support.
Abdollah Mohtadi Justifies the Failure of Separatist Projects
Abdollah Mohtadi, head of the terrorist group Komala, justified the lack of public participation in the Israeli- and opposition-designed unrest, telling International TV: “During wartime, people focus on securing their safety, rice, and fuel. Naturally, they think of their families.” Previously, these groups had claimed the capacity to complete a military attack and regime change, even demanding Israeli strikes on Iran. Mohtadi ignored Israel’s role in killing over a thousand Iranians, blaming the Islamic Republic for the war. He also rejected any patriotic defense of Iran, demonstrating that nationalism obstructs regime-change agendas and curbs separatist strategies.
These remarks reflect separatist groups’ efforts to excuse their inability to mobilize domestic support for Israel. Komala and similar organizations have always acted as foreign tools and now, following failed unrest scenarios, seek to cover up their inability to deliver on Western funding.
War Profiteers in Berlin
Masih Alinejad, another prominent opposition voice, had previously criticized Israel for not waiting for social unrest and instead launching the 12-day war. She now leads events titled “Freedom” as head of the “World Congress of Freedom.” At the second Berlin meeting of this congress, she addressed Reza Pahlavi sarcastically: “I invited all groups to attend, but dictators know how to fragment the opposition.”
Alinejad cites Venezuela’s opposition as a model for welcoming U.S. attacks and encourages Iranians not to fear cooperating with foreign powers in domestic conflicts: “If the Venezuelan opposition worried about cooperating with foreign countries, they’d get nowhere.” Her statements indicate full acceptance of foreign intervention to impose war on Iran.
Netanyahu’s Mouthpiece in Action
Pouria Zeraati, an International TV host known for interviewing Netanyahu, has openly called for an attack on Iran, saying, “Israel has no choice but to strike again” and “Time is not on Jerusalem’s side.” He promotes the Abraham Accords as vital for U.S. long-term interests and sees military confrontation as creating opportunities for street unrest, which International calls a “ground revolution.” Zeraati repeats Israel’s preferred strategy of synchronizing social protests with military strikes. The network acts as Netanyahu’s Persian-language platform, attempting to sustain war narratives and destabilize public morale in Iran.
No New Cards in the Deck
All media and political efforts of the exiled opposition—from Pahlavi to Mohtadi, Zeraati, and Alinejad—follow a single scenario orchestrated by Netanyahu. Immediately after the 12-day war, Netanyahu promised water security while urging exiled activists to complete Israel’s failed military action through street protests. However, as Western media acknowledge, these groups lack a social base and are clearly dependent on Israel and the U.S. The 12-day war not only demonstrated Israel and America’s inability to confront Iran but also showcased Iran’s defensive strength. Pahlavi admitted cognitive decline and his inability to perform miracles, Mohtadi exposed separatist ambitions by rejecting nationalism, Zeraati solicited military attacks, and Alinejad endorsed cooperation with foreign powers. This opposition alignment with Israel has never produced unrest and presents no novel agenda. Having experienced the 12-day war, the Iranian public is now better positioned to resist repetitive opposition schemes.
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