SAEDNEWS: Geopolitics professor Abdolreza Faraji-Rad highlights a critical one-month window before the snapback mechanism deadline, predicting a high probability of activation and potential Iranian retaliation, including halting cooperation with the IAEA or leaving the NPT.
According to Saed News, Abdolreza Faraji-Rad, a geopolitics professor, stated that although the deadline for the implementation of the snapback mechanism ends next week, there is an additional one-month period during which negotiations can continue to see if the parties can reach an agreement. He emphasized that this one-month stage is even more important than the final deadline.
He noted that in this tension and dispute, it is unclear whether strength or argument will prevail. Faraji-Rad believes the probability of activating the snapback mechanism is above 50 percent. He also sees little chance for a new agreement because if the mechanism is triggered, Iran will react.
The minimum reaction from Iran could involve non-cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), while the maximum could include withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). This scenario could also lead to a halt in negotiations with the United States and an escalation of tensions, potentially resulting in conflict or war.
Faraji-Rad added that European countries, under U.S. pressure, cannot act independently in this matter.
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